Simulation of energy and carbon emissions in housing

This chapter presents the results of simulation performed for the model in this book. The simulation was based on the ‘baseline’ scenario as described in this chapter. The ‘baseline’ scenario conveys the way energy and carbon emission of the UK housing sector will evolve from the year 1970 to the year 2050. After the general assumptions about the ‘baseline’ scenario, the chapter presents the results of the key variables in the preceding modules to household energy consumption and carbon emission modules. These are key variables in the population/household module, dwelling internal heat module, occupants’ thermal comfort module, and climatic-economic-energy efficiency interaction module. Furthermore, the chapter presents and discusses the behaviour analysis of the household energy consumption module as well as that of household carbon emissions. The chapter concludes by explaining the model verification and validation conducted in order to build confidence in the outputs of the simulation.