Predictive Modeling for Marketing Strategies: A Case Study of a Superstore’s Gold Membership Offer Using Advanced Analytics and Machine Learning Techniques

Vikas Ranveer Singh Mahala, Neeraj Garg, D. Saxena, Rajesh Kumar

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The research article showcases an in-depth examination of a large retail superstore’s scenario, where they introduce a novel gold membership proposition. This initiative involves the strategic utilization of advanced analytics and machine learning (ML) techniques to not only identify potential customers but also to gain insights into their preferences. This study aims to investigate the available data to establish the elements that influence a customer’s reaction to a new supermarket offer and then construct a predictive model that can accurately anticipate the likelihood that a consumer will respond favorably. In order to enhance marketing strategies and bolster sales figures, the research employs an array of ML methodologies. These include Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, and XGBoost. To further elevate their effectiveness, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) techniques are incorporated into these machine learning models. This integration furnishes robust search mechanisms for refining hyperparameters, thus facilitating the discovery of optimal solutions. This iterative tuning process significantly amplifies the models’ classification performance, especially in tackling the intricate challenges presented by the retail superstore context. As per the research results, the utilization of Grey Wolf Optimization yielded notable outcomes. Specifically, when applied to the Random Forest model, it achieved a remarkable accuracy of 95%. Moreover, through the fine-tuning enabled by Grey Wolf Optimization, the Decision Tree model demonstrated the most substantial enhancement in terms of accuracy. Overall, the results suggest that the metaheuristic strategy used to tune hyperparameters has a considerable impact on the performance of all ML models.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationData Science and Applications - Proceedings of ICDSA 2023
EditorsSatyasai Jagannath Nanda, Rajendra Prasad Yadav, Amir H. Gandomi, Mukesh Saraswat
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages207-218
Number of pages12
ISBN (Print)9789819978137
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Externally publishedYes
Event4th International Conference on Data Science and Applications, ICDSA 2023 - Jaipur, India
Duration: 14 Jul 202315 Jul 2023

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Networks and Systems
Volume821
ISSN (Print)2367-3370
ISSN (Electronic)2367-3389

Conference

Conference4th International Conference on Data Science and Applications, ICDSA 2023
Country/TerritoryIndia
CityJaipur
Period14/07/2315/07/23

Keywords

  • Decision Tree
  • GWO
  • Hyperparameter
  • Optimization
  • PSO
  • Random Forest
  • Supermarket
  • SVM
  • XGBoost

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Signal Processing
  • Computer Networks and Communications

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