Predicting the effect of seasonal variation on the physical composition of municipal solid waste: A case study of the city of johannesburg

Oluwatobi Adeleke, Stephen A. Akinlabi, S. Hassan, Tien Chien Jen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Several factors influence the physical, chemical, and thermal properties of waste at different sources. One of the major indexes to variation in the morphological composition of municipal solid waste is the season. A significant discrepancy in the composition of municipal solid waste at different seasons has been reported in the literature. However, this study explores the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with a fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering technique to predict the physical content of waste in South Africa based on the varying weather parameters at different seasons. Four different models (I–IV) were developed to forecast the percentage fraction of organics, plastics, paper, and textile, respectively. The choice of these streams was because a closer look at the historical data reveals a significant variation in the percentage of these waste fractions at different seasons with little or no difference in other waste streams. The percentage composition of samples of waste collected and characterized at Marie Louise Landfill, Johannesburg, in summer 2015 and winter 2016 was used as the output variable. Weather parameters for the same period were extracted from South Africa Weather Service data and used as the input variables. M-file script was written and computed on a workstation with configurations of 64 bits, 4 GB ram Intel(R) core(TM) i3. The performance of the ANFIS models I–IV was evaluated using mean absolute deviation (MAD), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvances in Manufacturing Engineering - Selected Articles from ICMMPE 2019
EditorsSeyed Sattar Emamian, Farazila Yusof, Mokhtar Awang
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages187-198
Number of pages12
ISBN (Print)9789811557521
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes
Event5th International Conference on Mechanical, Manufacturing and Plant Engineering, ICMMPE 2019 - Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Duration: 19 Nov 201921 Nov 2019

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
ISSN (Print)2195-4356
ISSN (Electronic)2195-4364

Conference

Conference5th International Conference on Mechanical, Manufacturing and Plant Engineering, ICMMPE 2019
Country/TerritoryMalaysia
CityKuala Lumpur
Period19/11/1921/11/19

Keywords

  • Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system
  • Clustering technique
  • Municipal solid waste
  • Seasonal variation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Automotive Engineering
  • Aerospace Engineering
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes

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