Neuro-rough sets for modeling interstate conflict

Tshilidzi Marwala, Monica Lagazio

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

Abstract

This chapter investigated a neuro-rough model –a combination of a Multi-Layered Perceptron (MLP) neural network with rough set theory– for the modeling of interstate conflict. The model was formulated using a Bayesian framework and trained using a Monte Carlo technique with the Metropolis criterion. The model was then tested on militarized interstate dispute and was found to combine the accuracy of the Bayesian MLP model with the transparency of the rough set model. The technique presented was compared to the genetic algorithm optimized rough sets. The presented Bayesian neuro-rough model performed better than the genetic algorithm optimized rough set model.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvanced Information and Knowledge Processing
PublisherSpringer London
Pages201-216
Number of pages16
Edition9780857297891
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2011

Publication series

NameAdvanced Information and Knowledge Processing
Number9780857297891
ISSN (Print)1610-3947
ISSN (Electronic)2197-8441

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Management Information Systems
  • Information Systems
  • Information Systems and Management
  • Artificial Intelligence

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