Machine learning-based approach for predicting the fatigue crack growth in the radial direction in steel pipe under pure bending

Sergei Sherbakov, Pawan Kumar, Daria Podgayskaya, Pavel Poliakov, Vasilii Dobrianskii, Mamookho Elizabeth Makhatha, Adrian Prinsloo, H. M. Vishwanatha

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The present investigation elucidates the prediction of crack length (a) and fatigue crack growth rate (FCGR), in the TP316L stainless steel pipe during four-point bending, using different approaches— ridge regression (RR), random forest (RF), and polynomial regression (Poly.) machine learning (ML) modelling. The FGCR i.e., da/dN, in the radial direction of the cylindrical pipe was predicted considering 70% of the data for training and 30% for the testing. Initially, a was predicted considering the number of loading cycles (N) as the independent variable. The Poly. method provided the best mean value of the coefficient of determination while the RR method provided the least value. Considering the mean squared error (MSE), it was the RF method that provided the best prediction. The prediction of da/dN was done considering stress intensity factor range (ΔK), a, and N as independent variable. When ΔK was considered, the RF method provided the best coefficient of determination, Poly. method provided a conservative value and the RR method could not predict the da/dN. A similar prediction trend was obtained considering a and N as the independent variables. The optimum coefficient of determination for da/dN was obtained when the a was considered as the independent variable. The MSE for the prediction of da/dN provided the best results using the RF method considering ΔK, a, and N as the independent variables.

Original languageEnglish
Article number025527
JournalEngineering Research Express
Volume7
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Jun 2025

Keywords

  • fatigue crack growth rate
  • fatigue crack length
  • machine learning
  • pure bending
  • stress intensity factor

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Engineering

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