Impact of incorporating disturbance prediction on the performance of energy management systems in micro-grid

The design and implementation of appropriate advanced control strategies is a key factor for the effective integration of micro-grids into the electrical network. In view of this, the study proposes an Adaptive Model-Based Horizon Control technique in the bid to addressing issues related to the Energy Management System in micro-grid operations. The main objective of the energy management system is to balance energy generation and demand through energy storage, so as to optimize the operation of the micro-grid with high penetrations of renewable energy sources. This paper further investigates the impacts of considering the prediction of disturbances on the performance of the Energy Management System based on the adaptive model predictive control algorithm in order to improve the operating costs of the microgrid with hybrid-energy storage systems. The adaptive model predictive control algorithm solves the energy optimization problem in a renewable energy-based micro-grid with various types of energy storage systems that exchange energy with the host grid. More so, this optimization problem is resolved at each sampling period in order to determine the minimum running costs while satisfying demand and taking into account technical and physical constraints. The simulation results under different conditions have demonstrated how the use of an adaptive model predictive control based energy management system can enhance micro-grid operation, provided there is effective forecasting, and consequently minimized the running operating costs of micro-grid. More so, it is evident in the cost function, J, obtained from the three scenarios conducted, that the perfect knowledge of the disturbance prediction is essential for effective micro-grid operations.