Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the causality between exports and GDP of Namibia and to evaluate the relationship of these variables for the period 1970 to 2005. Time-series econometric techniques (Granger causality and cointegration) are applied to test the hypothesis of a growth strategy led by exports. It tests whether export Granger causes GDP, or whether the causality runs from GDP to exports, or if there is bi-directional causality between exports and GDP. The results revealed that exports Granger cause GDP and GDP per capita. This suggests that the export-led growth strategy through various incentives has a positive influence on growth.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 540-547 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Journal | South African Journal of Economics |
| Volume | 75 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Sept 2007 |
| Externally published | Yes |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth -
SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals
Keywords
- Causality
- Cointegration
- Economic growth
- Error correction model
- Exports
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics and Econometrics
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