Export and economic growth in Namibia: A granger causality analysis

Andre C. Jordaan; Joel Hinaunye Eita

doi:10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00132.x

Export and economic growth in Namibia: A granger causality analysis

Andre C. Jordaan, Joel Hinaunye Eita

University of Pretoria

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

32 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to analyse the causality between exports and GDP of Namibia and to evaluate the relationship of these variables for the period 1970 to 2005. Time-series econometric techniques (Granger causality and cointegration) are applied to test the hypothesis of a growth strategy led by exports. It tests whether export Granger causes GDP, or whether the causality runs from GDP to exports, or if there is bi-directional causality between exports and GDP. The results revealed that exports Granger cause GDP and GDP per capita. This suggests that the export-led growth strategy through various incentives has a positive influence on growth.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	540-547
Number of pages	8
Journal	South African Journal of Economics
Volume	75
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00132.x
Publication status	Published - Sept 2007
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

Causality
Cointegration
Economic growth
Error correction model
Exports

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Economics and Econometrics

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00132.x

Cite this

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abstract = "The purpose of this paper is to analyse the causality between exports and GDP of Namibia and to evaluate the relationship of these variables for the period 1970 to 2005. Time-series econometric techniques (Granger causality and cointegration) are applied to test the hypothesis of a growth strategy led by exports. It tests whether export Granger causes GDP, or whether the causality runs from GDP to exports, or if there is bi-directional causality between exports and GDP. The results revealed that exports Granger cause GDP and GDP per capita. This suggests that the export-led growth strategy through various incentives has a positive influence on growth.",

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AU - Eita, Joel Hinaunye

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N2 - The purpose of this paper is to analyse the causality between exports and GDP of Namibia and to evaluate the relationship of these variables for the period 1970 to 2005. Time-series econometric techniques (Granger causality and cointegration) are applied to test the hypothesis of a growth strategy led by exports. It tests whether export Granger causes GDP, or whether the causality runs from GDP to exports, or if there is bi-directional causality between exports and GDP. The results revealed that exports Granger cause GDP and GDP per capita. This suggests that the export-led growth strategy through various incentives has a positive influence on growth.

AB - The purpose of this paper is to analyse the causality between exports and GDP of Namibia and to evaluate the relationship of these variables for the period 1970 to 2005. Time-series econometric techniques (Granger causality and cointegration) are applied to test the hypothesis of a growth strategy led by exports. It tests whether export Granger causes GDP, or whether the causality runs from GDP to exports, or if there is bi-directional causality between exports and GDP. The results revealed that exports Granger cause GDP and GDP per capita. This suggests that the export-led growth strategy through various incentives has a positive influence on growth.

KW - Causality

KW - Cointegration

KW - Economic growth

KW - Error correction model

KW - Exports

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IS - 3

ER -

Export and economic growth in Namibia: A granger causality analysis

Abstract

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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