Asymmetric effect of government debt on GDP growth: evidence from Namibia

Teboho Jeremiah Mosikari, Joel Hinaunye Eita

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)


This study investigates the asymmetric relationship between government debt and GDP growth in Namibia. The study applied the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) methods to determine the asymmetrical effect of government debt on GDP growth. The estimated long-run parameters for positive and negative shocks of government debt are -0.104 and -0.738, respectively. The results suggest that a 1% increase in debt will be followed by a 0.104 decrease in GDP growth and that a 1% decrease in debt will produce a 0.738 increase in economic growth. This shows that the responsiveness of GDP growth to positive values of debt is different to that of negative values of debt. The responsiveness of GDP growth to negative values of debt is greater than to positive value of debt. This implies that it is important for Namibia to have manageable debt and fiscal sustainability in order to increase its GDP growth.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)543-558
Number of pages16
JournalPublic Sector Economics
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2021
Externally publishedYes


  • Namibia
  • economic growth
  • fiscal policy
  • government debt
  • nonlinear

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics


Dive into the research topics of 'Asymmetric effect of government debt on GDP growth: evidence from Namibia'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this