Analysis of a fractional-order model for dengue transmission dynamics with quarantine and vaccination measures

Muhammad Usman, Mujahid Abbas, Safeer Hussain Khan, Andrew Omame

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

13 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A comprehensive mathematical model is proposed to study two strains of dengue virus with saturated incidence rates and quarantine measures. Imperfect dengue vaccination is also assumed in the model. Existence, uniqueness and stability of the proposed model are proved using the results from fixed point and degree theory. Additionally, well constructed Lyapunov function candidates are also applied to prove the global stability of infection-free equilibria. It is also demonstrated that the model is generalized Ulam-Hyers stable under some appropriate conditions. The model is fitted to the real data of dengue epidemic taken from the city of Espirito Santo in Brazil. For the approximate solution of the model, a non-standard finite difference(NSFD) approach is applied. Sensitivity analysis is also carried out to show the influence of different parameters involved in the model. The behaviour of the NSFD is also assessed under different denominator functions and it is observed that the choice of the denominator function could influence the solution trajectories. Different scenario analysis are also assessed when the reproduction number is below or above one. Furthermore, simulations are also presented to assess the epidemiological impact of dengue vaccination and quarantine measures for infected individuals.

Original languageEnglish
Article number11954
JournalScientific Reports
Volume14
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2024
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Dengue
  • Existence and uniqueness
  • Mathematical model
  • Nonstandard finite difference scheme
  • Reproduction number
  • Stability
  • Strains

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Multidisciplinary

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