AI Empowered Short-Term Wind Forecasting for Participation in Electricity Market

Vikash Kumar Saini, Ameena Sad Al-Sumaiti, Ankit Vijayvargiya, Khalifa Al Hosani, Rajesh Kumar

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Wind energy is an integral component of a solution to the challenges of global energy crises and environmental degradation, since it is a renewable and environmentally friendly source of electricity. However, the unpredictability of wind speed makes the efficient utilization of wind power challenging. To overcome this challenge, a hybrid wavelet decomposition-ensemble empirical mode decomposition-convolutional neural network-long shortterm memory (WD-EEMD-CNN-LSTM) wind speed forecasting model based on WD, EEMD, CNN, and LSTM algorithms is proposed. First, WD is deployed to minimize the fluctuation in the wind speed, and then the wind signal is decomposed into eight IMFs and one residual. The top three IMFs are applied to the input of a proposed model and compared with other state-of-the-art single and simple hybrid models. Furthermore, the proposed model’s outputs are incorporated into the traditional approach to formulating the dispatch problem, aiming to reduce the generation cost. The expected cost of power dispatch is calculated for 2-bus and IEEE 24 RTS systems. The results showed that the proposed model has the lowest cost for day-ahead and balance markets. Overall, the WDEEMD-CNN-LSTM model demonstrates superior performance in wind speed forecasting accuracy, making it a promising solution for increasing wind power utilization.

Original languageEnglish
JournalIEEE Transactions on Emerging Topics in Computational Intelligence
DOIs
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2025

Keywords

  • AI model
  • Dispatch model
  • Electricity market
  • Wind speed forecasting

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Science Applications
  • Control and Optimization
  • Computational Mathematics
  • Artificial Intelligence

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