A Machine Learning-based Short- Term Prediction Model for a Solar Plant: A South African case study

Lehlogonolo David Mashapu, Tebello N.D. Mathaba

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The research presented in this paper examines and develops a machine learning-based model to predict the hourly output of a rooftop solar installation in a petrochemical industrial facility in South Africa. This research attempts to thoroughly examine the factors impacting solar energy generation and then create a reliable predictive model for solar power. This work uses machine learning to produce an accurate and dependable model to increase the effectiveness of energy management systems. It was established that solar power output and efficiency depend on various environmental factors and the year's season. The results show RMSE values of 4.30, 4.22, and 11.89 for the 1D CNN, LSTM and hybrid CNN-LSTM models, respectively.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationInternational Conference on Electrical, Computer, and Energy Technologies, ICECET 2024
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9798350395914
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Event4th IEEE International Conference on Electrical, Computer, and Energy Technologies, ICECET 2024 - Sydney, Australia
Duration: 25 Jul 202427 Jul 2024

Publication series

NameInternational Conference on Electrical, Computer, and Energy Technologies, ICECET 2024

Conference

Conference4th IEEE International Conference on Electrical, Computer, and Energy Technologies, ICECET 2024
Country/TerritoryAustralia
CitySydney
Period25/07/2427/07/24

Keywords

  • CNN
  • LSTM
  • Machine learning
  • artificial intelligence
  • climate change
  • power prediction
  • solar forecasting

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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